Kent Bottles: Is It Really Impossible to Control the Cost of Health Care in the U.S.?
February 22, 2010 at 9:47 am jimtrevis 7 comments
Anyone who has seriously studied the health care system in the United States knows that we spend more money and get worse results than many other industrialized nations. The stalled health care reform legislation in the Congress has been criticized by some on the right for not controlling costs. Medicare, which now pays for more than half of the health care delivered in the U.S. and whose lead private insurers follow, is slated to go bankrupt in less than 10 years if we do not make some real changes. Experts estimate that up to one-third of health care spending goes to waste.
This week Twitter made me aware of what three distinguished leaders in health care have to say about this important subject: Toby Cosgrove, MD, Uwe Reinhardt, PhD, and Atul Gawande, MD.
In a Fortune Magazine interview, Dr. Cosgrove, the CEO of the Cleveland Clinic, stated, “There’s a dirty little secret, and I might as well tell you to start with. The secret is that regardless of what happens with health care reform legislation, the costs are going to go up. We have more elderly people, and we can do more for them…We can really only try to contain the rate of inflation.” http://bit.ly/99WIxW
In response to criticism from a reader, Professor Reinhardt, the Princeton economist, explains why cost control in American medicine is so difficult. “Unfortunately even the Pope could not achieve significant reductions in the cost of American health care over the next few years. To see why it is so, readers should replace the term ‘cost control’ in their minds with ‘constraining and possibly reducing the future incomes of doctors, hospitals, pharmaceutical companies, medical device companies and so on.’” He goes on to say that given our system of governance where political contributions mean so much, “the task of constraining or reducing the incomes of American health care providers will be a long and arduous battle with powerful, moneyed interest groups.”
Reinhardt then goes on to convincingly show that the health policy solutions to rising health care costs will not work. Business alliances, tort reform, buying insurance across state lines, and price transparency all have extremely limited abilities to bend the cost curve. To cite just one example, the Congressional Budget Office wrote in a letter to GOP Senator Orrin Hatch that tort reform would “reduce total health care spending by about 0.5 percent.” (http://nyti.ms/9WaEjO)
Finally, Dr. Gawande writes in The New Yorker blog that he stands by the data he used in his now famous study of the high cost of medical care in McAllen, Texas. (http://bit.ly/LCSFU) “The patterns of Medicare spending I found showed that McAllen’s medical community and culture did more – more surgery, more imaging, more specialist visits, more home-nursing visits – without clear benefit. The lesson was that more is not necessarily better.” Although critics of Gawande and the Dartmouth Atlas research that he used have tried to defend the status quo, Gawande concludes that, “none of the data used in the article has been found erroneous or wanting.” (http://bit.ly/cZ19kv)
We have to control the high cost of health care. It is hampering our ability to have a strong economy, to create jobs, and to be able to spend money on education, defense, infrastructure repair, and the many other services that a strong America requires. We have to do it, but controlling the high cost of American medicine will be difficult because one person’s waste is another person’s income.
Entry filed under: General Info, Health Care Redesign. Tags: .
1. uberVU - social comments | February 22, 2010 at 3:30 pm
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This post was mentioned on Twitter by KentBottles: Toby Cosgrove, Atul Gawande, and Uwe Reinhardt on cost control in American Medicine: Mission Impossible? http://bit.ly/cLMGq7…
2. PhilFeed › Fresh From My Twitter today | February 22, 2010 at 4:49 pm
[...] Healthcare Costs: Is It Even Possible to Control Them? from @KentBottles – http://bit.ly/aeYgkC #hcr RT @2healthguru: I look forward to @PhilBaumann ’s insights on content, context and [...]
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Natalie Hodge MD | February 22, 2010 at 9:22 pm
Nice point, bears repeating… Controlling costs are difficult, one person’s “waste” is another person’s “income.” I have been touting the wasted efforts and energy of “reform” for years now. Politicians don’t create jobs, markets, or cost savings, Entrepeneurs do. The only way to control costs in health care is through disruptive innovation. Health solutions are coming in a new context now. Consumer internet health solutions, or health2.0 is moving forward at rapid pace. Consumers want to interact with their physicians on facebook, through IM, telemedicine, reading THEIR physician’s blog. The preventive physicians of the future will create customer focused health interactions that are participatory in nature. Consumers want housecalls. Transparency, both of the medical record and finance are simply a piece of the puzzle. Entrepeneurs create transparency through the consumer internet. In our model, the consumer facing PHR is the missing link that provides cost reductions of 80% for physicians. It is only through iteration, customer development, and development of sharp process that healthcare costs may be contained.
Remember what happened to the office based travel agent?
Consumers always win in the end.
Natalie Hodge MD FAAP
http://www.personalmedicine.com
@nataliehodge
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Paul Roemer | February 23, 2010 at 8:54 pm
Kent, your narrative should be mandatory reading for all those in Washington whose vision of reform stands in stark contrast to the piece. Then, before they are allowed to propose or vote on their vision, they should be forced to explain why their vision doesn’t address these issues.
In my non-luminary opinion, here’s where I think the reformists have failed. The notion of spending funds that don’t exist, to fix things that may not be broken, without fixing those that are could only come from Washington.
Permit me to over simplify things to make a point. When I look at healthcare, I see a three legged stool; pharma, the payors, and the providers—the three P’s. Not exactly in a pod, each working to their own benefits and operating under different business models—models which are in conflict. For example, many hospitals operate as not for profits, which conflicts with the for profit sectors.
I believe the present reform effort will increase the conflict. Why? Because the legislation is siloed—it looks a lot like the word ‘soiled’ which might also be part of the problem. The legislation does not seem designed to address healthcare as in integrated industry. The way reform is positioned, each nudge that is put to one leg of the stool will cause a reaction, an unfavorable one, to the other legs. It is a little like doing an experiment, changing multiple variables at once, and hoping for the best.
Two sides of the stool, the payors and pharma, have behemoths running the show. Among the behemoths, the business models in pharma are quite similar and the same holds for the payors.
I think it is important to distinguish between the business of healthcare (the dollars and cents) and the healthcare business (the clinical side). The provider segment is highly fragmented. There is no behemoth provider cartel. The business of healthcare, is the side most in need of reform. Each of the thousands of providers operates under their own business model. None of these businesses was designed to be interoperable—I do not use this term in the same sense being used by the ONC and CMS.
The business of healthcare, with all of its inefficiencies, is designed to operate within its four walls and across a limited geographical radius. The long term goal of healthcare reform, I believe, is to make the provider side appear as one giant services provider. Just because consolidation sort of worked for steel, the airlines, and the automotive industry does not mean it will work for delivering healthcare.
My final comment has to do with the payor side of healthcare, and I’ll start by acknowledging that this one is more than a little provocative, one for which I have not thought through a workable solution—I’ll leave that to those of you who aren’t grasping for metaphorical tomatoes to throw. I could be convinced to skip the rest of my comments if for a moment I thought that the business model of the payors was—let’s cover everyone who needs care for a fair cost. Ignore for the moment that my statement is naive.
We know that on a small scale it is possible for people to self-insure, to meet their needs without having to rely on payors. I’ll frame my final comment with a question—where is the value-add to healthcare from the payors?
Here is my issue with the current model. You want to go to the movie, you hand me ten dollars for an eight dollar ticket, and I pay the movie theater on your behalf and pocket the two dollars. In this instance I am merely the middle man, I manage the transaction. The theater gets no marginal benefit, and you get no marginal benefit.
Not complex enough? Let’s say someday millions of people want to go to the movies and a ticket will cost them eight dollars. Anticipating that, everyone pays me a dollar a day so that when the time comes they can go. On that day, I pay for movie tickets for those who want to go, pocket the difference, and I keep the money for those who don’t go.
In my small mind, that’s how I view the payor leg of the stool. I think the payors relish reform. I think the more they complain about how badly this will hurt them the more they may like it. It reminds me of the Uncle Remus story in which Brer Rabbitt pleading with Brer Bear and Brer Fox not to throw him into the briar patch.
What industry wouldn’t be salivating if they could find an additional thirty or forty million customers overnight? What if you could charge them a monthly fee and make the co-pay so high that you might not have to cover major medical claims? Does this sound absurd or does it sound a little like the mortgage banking industry? Fess for no service. I am not saying that this will happen in every case, but I do not think one can argue that this will never happen.
Circling back to how to reform reform. From my vantage point, the most advantageous reform idea would be to force multiples of payors to compete in every state. Competition could do wonders for cost control.
A final thought. Earlier this year a House committee passed legislation on “can’t fail” businesses. The Financial Services Committee voted on an amendment that would let regulators dismantle a firm, limit mergers and acquisitions, and force an end to activities deemed systemically risky. The financial industry opposed the measure, as part of legislation to overhaul Wall Street rules. This could be another opportunity for the camel—Washington—to get its nose further under the healthcare tent. There is nothing that limits the legislation to financial services. Call me a cock-eyed pessimist, but what is there to prevent Congress from deciding that the payors need to be dismantled, thereby ushering in a federal payor model? That would give them two legs of the stool. What if…?
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Does reform need to be reformed? « Healthcare IT: How good is your strategy? | February 24, 2010 at 7:02 am
[...] Kent Bottles: Is It Really Impossible to Control the Cost of Health Care in the U.S.? [...]
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Paul Roemer | February 24, 2010 at 5:18 pm
FROM the NYT November 21, 2008, 10:34 AM
Why Does U.S. Health Care Cost So Much? (Part II: Indefensible Administrative Costs)
The United States spends nearly 40 percent more on health care per capita than its G.D.P. per capita would predict. Given the sheer magnitude of the estimated excess spending, it is fair to ask American health care providers what extra benefits the American people receive in return for this enormous extra spending. After all, translated into total dollar spending per year, this excess spending amounted to $570 billion in 2006 and about $650 billion in 2008. The latter figure is over five times the estimated $125 billion or so in additional health spending that would be needed to attain truly universal health insurance coverage in this country.
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Healthcare IT: How good is your strategy? « Healthcare IT: How good is your strategy? | March 2, 2010 at 5:27 pm
[...] Kent Bottles: Is It Really Impossible to Control the Cost of Health Care in the U.S.? [...]